Yverdon 1-0 St. Gallen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.03
Over 2.5
43%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.66
No
58%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.87
2-3 Goals
43%
1.86
4-5 Goals
18%
3.23
6+ Goals
11%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.87 — our 28% vs market 21.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.97
1/2
8%
22.1
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
11%
8.12
X/2
22%
4.56
X/X
12%
5.25
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
14%
2.46
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+5.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-5.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
45%
+11.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
55%
-11.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.8pp
58%
BTTS No
44%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yverdon EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 54%
+19% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -25%
1.18/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.21
+19% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.2
15.0 Crosses 20.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yverdon
2W-1D-3L
AWAY St. Gallen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.84 xG 2.06
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
246 Passes 341
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 0-0 HT 0-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
28.09.2024 Yverdon Yverdon 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
13.04.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 5-1 HT 1-1 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
06.12.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 4-0 HT 3-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
01.10.2023 Yverdon Yverdon 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
21.04.2022 Yverdon Yverdon 0-2 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yverdon
1-0
AWAY St. Gallen
2.83 xG 0.55
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
362 Passes 189
76% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Box Touches 8
29 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yverdon vs St. Gallen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yverdon edged past St. Gallen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was St. Gallen at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Yverdon had 62% of the ball to St. Gallen's 38%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.83 to 0.55 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Yverdon's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Gallen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Yverdon and 1.83 for St. Gallen.

What was the final score of Yverdon vs St. Gallen?

Yverdon 1-0 St. Gallen in the Switzerland - Super League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yverdon vs St. Gallen?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Gallen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Yverdon 31%, draw 25%, St. Gallen 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (St. Gallen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Gallen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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