Basel 1-1 Lausanne Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.03
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
3.14
6+ Goals
12%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.79
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
18%
4.99
X/2
9%
7.21
X/X
11%
5.14
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.0
2/2
14%
4.94
2/X
7%
13.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.0 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
1.69/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.51
-17% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
21.0 Crosses 18.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Lausanne Sports
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.07 xG 1.85
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
337 Passes 291
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2024 Basel Basel 1-1 HT 1-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
21.07.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 3-2 HT 3-1 Basel Basel İSV
10.05.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-0 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
02.03.2024 Basel Basel 1-2 HT 0-1 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
29.10.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 3-0 HT 1-0 Basel Basel İSV
13.08.2023 Basel Basel 1-2 HT 0-1 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basel
1-1
AWAY Lausanne Sports
2.68 xG 0.98
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
382 Passes 258
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Basel vs Lausanne Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel and Lausanne Sports shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Basel at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Basel had 58% of the ball to Lausanne Sports's 42%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 2.68 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lausanne Sports led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Basel and 1.83 for Lausanne Sports.

What was the final score of Basel vs Lausanne Sports?

Basel 1-1 Lausanne Sports in the Switzerland - Super League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel vs Lausanne Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Basel 47%, draw 24%, Lausanne Sports 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Basel), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Basel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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