Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 Holstein Kiel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 16 Feb 2025

Eintracht Frankfurt
3-1 HT 2-0
Holstein Kiel
📅16/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Holstein Kiel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.34
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.31
2-3 Goals
36%
1.99
4-5 Goals
31%
2.58
6+ Goals
14%
6.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.58
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
18.5
X/1
17%
3.96
X/2
10%
15.7
X/X
11%
8.06
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
19.3
2/2
7%
12.3
2/X
7%
21.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.3 — our 11% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
70%
-16.5pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.8pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eintracht Frankfurt v Holstein Kiel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstein Kiel EU Bookmakers 16%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.09/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.07
+5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / -16%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
455 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
32.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
21.6 Crosses 12.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.8

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Holstein Kiel Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Holstein Kiel
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.22 xG 1.07
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
357 Passes 302
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
41 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.09.2024 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 2-4 HT 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1

Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 Holstein Kiel — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
3-1
AWAY Holstein Kiel
2.53 xG 1.41
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
439 Passes 423
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Eintracht Frankfurt vs Holstein Kiel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Frankfurt saw off Holstein Kiel 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Eintracht Frankfurt as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Eintracht Frankfurt had 51% of the ball to Holstein Kiel's 49%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 2.53 to 1.41.

What was the final score of Eintracht Frankfurt vs Holstein Kiel?

Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 Holstein Kiel in the Germany - Bundesliga on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Holstein Kiel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eintracht Frankfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Frankfurt 53%, draw 23%, Holstein Kiel 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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