Hoffenheim (K) 1-0 Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
41%
-9.4pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim (K) EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K) EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
Crosses 15.8
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoffenheim (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.38 xG 1.27
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
307 Passes 346
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.09.2024 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) 2-1 HT 2-0 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) ALKB
18.02.2024 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim (K)
1-0
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
0.39 xG 2.08
52% Ball Possession 48%
3 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
374 Passes 316
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim (K) edged past Bayer Leverkusen (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 38% — and on the day Hoffenheim (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hoffenheim (K) had 52% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen (K)'s 48%, shots finished 3-22, expected goals 0.39 to 2.08 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bayer Leverkusen (K).

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hoffenheim (K) and 1.50 for Bayer Leverkusen (K).

What was the final score of Hoffenheim (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Hoffenheim (K) 1-0 Bayer Leverkusen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim (K) 31%, draw 31%, Bayer Leverkusen (K) 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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