Gent 3-2 Beerschot VA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 16 Feb 2025

Gent
3-2 HT 1-1
Beerschot VA
📅16/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Gent vs Beerschot VA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.15
Over 2.5
45%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.68
No
58%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.09
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
2.91
6+ Goals
9%
8.76
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.09 — our 29% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.04
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
22%
4.25
X/2
8%
10.25
X/X
8%
5.89
2/1
8%
20.8
2/2
8%
7.79
2/X
7%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-3.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
43%
+12.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
57%
-12.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.0pp
58%
BTTS No
44%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gent v Beerschot VA — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -20%
1.87/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.86
+3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
18.9 Crosses 14.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

Gent vs Beerschot VA Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Beerschot VA
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.11 xG 1.15
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
479 Passes 250
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.11.2024 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 0-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
13.03.2022 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 0-2 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEL
01.08.2021 Gent Gent 2-2 HT 1-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
10.01.2021 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 1-1 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
04.10.2020 Gent Gent 5-1 HT 3-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
04.12.2018 Gent Gent 3-0 HT 2-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEK
POST-MATCH Gent vs Beerschot VA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent squeezed past Beerschot VA 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gent as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Gent and 0.67 for Beerschot VA.

What was the final score of Gent vs Beerschot VA?

Gent 3-2 Beerschot VA in the Belgium - Pro League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Beerschot VA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Gent 54%, draw 23%, Beerschot VA 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gent) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gent) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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