Cercle Brugge 1-1 Westerlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 16 Feb 2025

Cercle Brugge
1-1 HT 0-1
Westerlo
📅16/02/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.1
Over 2.5
44%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.56
No
54%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.95
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
2.98
6+ Goals
9%
9.33
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.95 — our 29% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.11
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
8%
12.2
X/1
13%
5.38
X/2
11%
6.63
X/X
10%
5.08
2/1
6%
23.85
2/2
11%
4.31
2/X
10%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.0pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cercle Brugge v Westerlo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Westerlo EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.37/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.74
-16% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
19.8 Crosses 17.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cercle Brugge
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Westerlo
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.68 xG 1.57
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
239 Passes 264
65% Pass Accuracy 66%
35 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.07.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 3-0 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
30.01.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 4-2 HT 4-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
02.09.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-1 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
03.06.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-0 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
07.05.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 3-5 HT 1-4 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
07.01.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 0-1 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL

Cercle Brugge 1-1 Westerlo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cercle Brugge
1-1
AWAY Westerlo
2.96 xG 0.80
56% Ball Possession 44%
24 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 1
279 Passes 197
70% Pass Accuracy 61%
44 Box Touches 10
38 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cercle Brugge and Westerlo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cercle Brugge at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Cercle Brugge had 56% of the ball to Westerlo's 44%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 2.96 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cercle Brugge and 2.00 for Westerlo.

What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo?

Cercle Brugge 1-1 Westerlo in the Belgium - Pro League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cercle Brugge 44%, draw 28%, Westerlo 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cercle Brugge), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cercle Brugge) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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