Sporting Charleroi 0-1 Anderlecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.78
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.93
6+ Goals
8%
18.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 30% vs market 29.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.62
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
15%
5.37
X/2
15%
5.93
X/X
19%
4.17
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
11%
4.22
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.4pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.4pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.66/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.17
-22% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
306 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 67%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
19.9 Crosses 14.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Anderlecht
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.03 xG 1.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
346 Passes 408
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
11.02.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-3 HT 1-2 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
27.08.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
26.12.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-1 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
02.10.2022 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
03.04.2022 Anderlecht Anderlecht 4-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
0-1
AWAY Anderlecht
0.51 xG 0.71
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
395 Passes 364
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs Anderlecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht nicked a narrow win over Sporting Charleroi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 34% / 33% — and on the day Anderlecht made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 52% of the ball to Anderlecht's 48%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 0.51 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 1.67 for Anderlecht.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs Anderlecht?

Sporting Charleroi 0-1 Anderlecht in the Belgium - Pro League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs Anderlecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 33%, draw 34%, Anderlecht 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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