Ujpest 1-2 Zalaegerszegi TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.99
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.5
6+ Goals
8%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 30% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.4pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ujpest EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 33%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.75/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.09
+27% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
397 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
17.3 Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ujpest
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.15 xG 1.83
52% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
343 Passes 344
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 0-2 HT 0-2 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
05.04.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 1-5 HT 1-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
09.12.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
26.08.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 2-1 HT 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
01.04.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 3-2 HT 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
05.11.2022 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-0 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ujpest
1-2
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
0.92 xG 2.34
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
245 Passes 388
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalaegerszegi TE edged past Ujpest 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ujpest at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ujpest had 40% of the ball to Zalaegerszegi TE's 60%, shots finished 12-21, expected goals 0.92 to 2.34 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Zalaegerszegi TE's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ujpest had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ujpest and 1.67 for Zalaegerszegi TE.

What was the final score of Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Ujpest 1-2 Zalaegerszegi TE in the Hungary - NB I on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ujpest win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ujpest 42%, draw 28%, Zalaegerszegi TE 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ujpest) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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