Ferencvaros 0-2 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.49
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.69
6+ Goals
12%
7.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.7pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.8pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +20%
1.88/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.72
+14% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / -16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
445 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 66%
37.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
25.3 Crosses 21.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferencvaros
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Paksi SE
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.25 xG 0.94
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
458 Passes 175
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
35 Box Touches 17
32 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-1 HT 2-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
15.05.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-0 HT 0-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MACK
07.04.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-0 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
10.12.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-2 HT 2-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
27.08.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 6-1 HT 6-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
08.04.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-2 HT 1-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferencvaros
0-2
AWAY Paksi SE
2.87 xG 1.19
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
407 Passes 251
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
43 Box Touches 21
36 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ferencvaros vs Paksi SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE got the better of Ferencvaros 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ferencvaros at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ferencvaros had 60% of the ball to Paksi SE's 40%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 2.87 to 1.19 — on chances, Ferencvaros could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paksi SE led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ferencvaros and 2.00 for Paksi SE.

What was the final score of Ferencvaros vs Paksi SE?

Ferencvaros 0-2 Paksi SE in the Hungary - NB I on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferencvaros vs Paksi SE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 51%, draw 27%, Paksi SE 22%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✗ BTTS Yes
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