Diriangen 4-1 Jalapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
72%
-13.1pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.5pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+8.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diriangen EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Jalapa EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
2.40/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.61
+4% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
394 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diriangen
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Jalapa
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 6-0 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
19.09.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 2-2 HT 2-1 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
09.05.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 1-0 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
05.05.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 0-2 HT 0-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
29.04.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 1-0 HT 1-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
14.03.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 2-1 HT 0-1 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diriangen
4-1
AWAY Jalapa
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Diriangen vs Jalapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diriangen cruised past Jalapa 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Diriangen as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Diriangen had 61% of the ball to Jalapa's 39%, shots finished 14-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diriangen had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Diriangen and 0.67 for Jalapa.

What was the final score of Diriangen vs Jalapa?

Diriangen 4-1 Jalapa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diriangen vs Jalapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Diriangen 59%, draw 22%, Jalapa 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diriangen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Diriangen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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