Levadiakos 4-1 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.19
2-3 Goals
35%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.99
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.92
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
6%
15.75
X/1
8%
6.88
X/2
19%
4.36
X/X
17%
3.83
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
15%
2.98
2/X
6%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+5.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.5pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levadiakos EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 49%
+10% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.08/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.03
+44% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
10.5 Crosses 14.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levadiakos
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.76 xG 1.41
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
286 Passes 401
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-1 HT 2-1 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
11.01.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-0 HT 1-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUK
21.12.2022 Levadiakos Levadiakos 1-1 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
16.12.2022 Levadiakos Levadiakos 1-2 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUK
21.08.2022 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-0 HT 2-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
27.01.2019 Levadiakos Levadiakos 1-0 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levadiakos
4-1
AWAY Aris Saloniki
1.78 xG 0.39
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
248 Passes 409
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Levadiakos vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levadiakos ran out comfortable winners over Aris Saloniki 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Levadiakos found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Levadiakos had 40% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 60%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.78 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Levadiakos and 1.67 for Aris Saloniki.

What was the final score of Levadiakos vs Aris Saloniki?

Levadiakos 4-1 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levadiakos vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Levadiakos 32%, draw 29%, Aris Saloniki 40%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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