PAOK 7-0 Lamia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 16 Feb 2025

PAOK
7-0 HT 2-0
Lamia
📅16/02/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.22
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.6
No
56%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.81
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
9.33
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 27% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.33
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
30.5
X/1
21%
3.5
X/2
7%
30.0
X/X
7%
8.19
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
5%
30.5
2/X
7%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
78%
-17.4pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.7pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+10.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
34%
+9.6pp
56%
BTTS No
66%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamia EU Bookmakers 9%
-6% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.85/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.66
-4% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -4%
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
420 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 72%
34.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.3
23.5 Crosses 9.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAOK
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Lamia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.75 xG 0.50
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
494 Passes 191
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
48 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Lamia Lamia 1-2 HT 1-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
24.04.2024 Lamia Lamia 1-1 HT 1-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
03.04.2024 PAOK PAOK 3-1 HT 1-1 Lamia Lamia YUN
03.03.2024 Lamia Lamia 0-2 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
04.12.2023 PAOK PAOK 3-0 HT 2-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
13.04.2023 PAOK PAOK 1-1 HT 1-0 Lamia Lamia YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
7-0
AWAY Lamia
2.47 xG 0.25
71% Ball Possession 29%
18 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
568 Passes 193
91% Pass Accuracy 77%
37 Box Touches 6
28 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PAOK vs Lamia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK ran out comfortable winners over Lamia 7-0. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, PAOK had 71% of the ball to Lamia's 29%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 2.47 to 0.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for PAOK and 0.67 for Lamia.

What was the final score of PAOK vs Lamia?

PAOK 7-0 Lamia in the Greece - Super League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK vs Lamia?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split PAOK 60%, draw 23%, Lamia 17%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUN More Greece - Super League
16 Feb 2025
16:00 Levadiakos vs Aris Saloniki Analysis →
18:00 Panserraikos vs Olympiakos Analysis →
18:00 Panathinaikos vs Volos NFC Analysis →
21:30 Panaitolikos vs Kallithea Analysis →