Panathinaikos 2-1 Volos NFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 29% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.61
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
20.8
X/1
24%
3.58
X/2
8%
16.6
X/X
9%
6.08
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
8%
15.7
2/X
8%
24.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
69%
-10.0pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.6pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.7pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Volos NFC EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +27%
1.82/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.84
-10% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -5%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
431 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 71%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.8
23.1 Crosses 10.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Volos NFC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.35 xG 0.26
72% Ball Possession 28%
20 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
561 Passes 161
88% Pass Accuracy 67%
36 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
03.11.2024 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-1 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
20.12.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-3 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
26.08.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 3-0 HT 2-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
26.04.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-2 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
02.04.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-0 HT 0-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
18.02.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 0-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
2-1
AWAY Volos NFC
2.12 xG 1.12
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
372 Passes 213
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 7
13 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs Volos NFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos edged past Volos NFC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 60% of the ball to Volos NFC's 40%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.12 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Panathinaikos and 0.00 for Volos NFC.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Volos NFC?

Panathinaikos 2-1 Volos NFC in the Greece - Super League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs Volos NFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 59%, draw 22%, Volos NFC 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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