Al Ahli Jeddah vs Shabab Al Ahli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ahli Jeddah v Shabab Al Ahli — Team-Based Signals
Al Ahli Jeddah vs Shabab Al Ahli Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Shabab Al Ahli
AŞMP
1-3
HT 0-2
Al Ahli Jeddah
AŞMP
1-1
HT 1-1
Shabab Al Ahli
AŞMP
2-1
HT 0-1
Shabab Al Ahli
AŞMP
3-3
HT 2-2
Al Ahli Jeddah
AŞMP
Al Ahli Jeddah 4-3 Shabab Al Ahli — Actual Match Statistics
Al Ahli Jeddah edged past Shabab Al Ahli 4-3. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 44% of the ball to Shabab Al Ahli's 56%, shots finished 12-10.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Jeddah had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 1.40 for Shabab Al Ahli.
What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Shabab Al Ahli?
Al Ahli Jeddah 4-3 Shabab Al Ahli in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 16/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Shabab Al Ahli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 59%, draw 19%, Shabab Al Ahli 21%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.