Al Sharjah vs Nasaf Qarshi Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Sharjah v Nasaf Qarshi — Team-Based Signals
Al Sharjah vs Nasaf Qarshi Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Al Sharjah
AŞMP
1-0
HT 1-0
Nasaf Qarshi
AŞMP
Al Sharjah 1-2 Nasaf Qarshi — Actual Match Statistics
Nasaf Qarshi squeezed past Al Sharjah 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Sharjah at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Al Sharjah had 54% of the ball to Nasaf Qarshi's 46%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.59 to 1.03 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Sharjah.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Sharjah had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Sharjah and 0.50 for Nasaf Qarshi.
What was the final score of Al Sharjah vs Nasaf Qarshi?
Al Sharjah 1-2 Nasaf Qarshi in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 16/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Sharjah vs Nasaf Qarshi?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sharjah win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Al Sharjah 58%, draw 23%, Nasaf Qarshi 19%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.