Al Hilal Riyadh 2-1 Al Wahda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 16 Feb 2026

📅16/02/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
2.81
6+ Goals
11%
8.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.91
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.45
X/1 EV+ ✓
29%
4.14
X/2
8%
11.2
X/X
7%
6.38
2/1
8%
20.4
2/2
8%
8.63
2/X
8%
17.2
Value flag · X/1 at 4.14 — our 29% vs market 19.2%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
61%
+0.1pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.5pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wahda EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.36/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.97
-9% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -81% / +132%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
453 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
16.4 Crosses 19.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Wahda
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
416 Passes 246
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2017 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Wahda Al Wahda AŞMP
14.03.2017 Al Wahda Al Wahda 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh AŞMP
19.08.2015 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Wahda Al Wahda SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
2-1
AWAY Al Wahda
1.60 xG 1.27
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
423 Passes 352
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Wahda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh nicked a narrow win over Al Wahda 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 54% of the ball to Al Wahda's 46%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.60 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Hilal Riyadh and 0.67 for Al Wahda.

What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Wahda?

Al Hilal Riyadh 2-1 Al Wahda in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 16/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Wahda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 61%, draw 20%, Al Wahda 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AŞMP More AFC Sampiyonlar League
16 Feb 2026
19:00 Al Ahli Jeddah vs Shabab Al Ahli Analysis →
19:00 Al Sharjah vs Nasaf Qarshi Analysis →
21:15 Al Shorta vs Al Duhail SC Analysis →