Al Shorta 3-2 Al Duhail SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 16 Feb 2026

Al Shorta
3-2 HT 1-2
Al Duhail SC
📅16/02/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
AFC Sampiyonlar League – 2025/2026

Al Shorta vs Al Duhail SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
49%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.73
No
41%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.22
6+ Goals
12%
11.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.44
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
22.9
1/X
6%
15.55
X/1
7%
9.43
X/2
17%
4.3
X/X
12%
5.19
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.21
2/X
9%
14.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.9 — our 12% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-2.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
54%
+5.0pp
41%
BTTS No
46%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Shorta v Al Duhail SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shorta EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Duhail SC EU Bookmakers 56%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.22/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.08
-42% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
19.2 Crosses 21.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Al Shorta vs Al Duhail SC Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shorta
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Duhail SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.33 xG 2.09
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
272 Passes 469
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.04.2021 Al Shorta Al Shorta 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC AŞMP
15.04.2021 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Shorta Al Shorta AŞMP

Al Shorta 3-2 Al Duhail SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shorta
3-2
AWAY Al Duhail SC
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
406 Passes 312
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
POST-MATCH Al Shorta vs Al Duhail SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shorta edged past Al Duhail SC 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Duhail SC at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Al Shorta had 54% of the ball to Al Duhail SC's 46%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Shorta and 1.50 for Al Duhail SC.

What was the final score of Al Shorta vs Al Duhail SC?

Al Shorta 3-2 Al Duhail SC in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 16/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shorta vs Al Duhail SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Duhail SC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Shorta 24%, draw 27%, Al Duhail SC 49%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Duhail SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Duhail SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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