Rosario Central 2-0 Barracas Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 16 Feb 2026

📅16/02/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.48
Over
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.6
No
56%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2.16
2-3
39%
1.77
4-5
15%
5.42
6+
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.01
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
19.05
X/1
16%
3.62
X/2
9%
12.25
X/X
10%
4.14
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
6%
12.2
2/X
10%
22.05
Value flag · 2/X at 22.05 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-5.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
34%
+9.3pp
56%
BTTS No
66%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 17%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +25%
1.28/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.20
-17% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +23%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 68%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
25.1 Crosses 14.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosario Central
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Barracas Central
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.64 xG 0.68
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
282 Passes 202
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2024 Rosario Central Rosario Central 0-1 HT 0-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
08.07.2024 Rosario Central Rosario Central 0-1 HT 0-1 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJK
29.03.2024 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-2 HT 0-2 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
07.11.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-1 HT 1-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
09.06.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 0-0 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
13.08.2022 Rosario Central Rosario Central 3-1 HT 1-1 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosario Central
2-0
AWAY Barracas Central
3.01 xG 0.07
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
456 Passes 201
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 1
29 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rosario Central vs Barracas Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosario Central got the better of Barracas Central 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rosario Central as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Rosario Central had 66% of the ball to Barracas Central's 34%, shots finished 19-3, expected goals 3.01 to 0.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barracas Central led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rosario Central and 1.00 for Barracas Central.

What was the final score of Rosario Central vs Barracas Central?

Rosario Central 2-0 Barracas Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 16/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosario Central vs Barracas Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosario Central win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Rosario Central 55%, draw 26%, Barracas Central 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosario Central), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rosario Central) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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