AFC Telford United 2-1 Stamford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
36%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-9.2pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.5pp
36%
Away Win
25%
+10.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Stamford EU Bookmakers 29%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.87/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.24
+7% / +107% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Telford United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Stamford
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.02.2024 Stamford Stamford 0-1 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İNGNLP
18.09.2021 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 1-2 HT 0-2 Stamford Stamford FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Telford United
2-1
AWAY Stamford
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AFC Telford United vs Stamford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Telford United nicked a narrow win over Stamford 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AFC Telford United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AFC Telford United had 47% of the ball to Stamford's 53%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AFC Telford United and 1.00 for Stamford.

What was the final score of AFC Telford United vs Stamford?

AFC Telford United 2-1 Stamford in the England - Non League Premier on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Telford United vs Stamford?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AFC Telford United 42%, draw 22%, Stamford 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Telford United), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✓ Over 2.5
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