16/03/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Flers vs Quevilly II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No Pick
57%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
50%
4-5
14%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
25%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
42%
Home Win
24%
19%
Draw
28%
39%
Away Win
48%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Flers v Quevilly II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Flers
The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY
Quevilly II
The Market 52%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-70% /
-70%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+17%
/
-47%
44%
Ball Possession
56%
11
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
4
220 · 70%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
397 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Flers vs Quevilly II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Flers edged past Quevilly II 2-1.
Our pre-match split (42% / 19% / 39%) promised a tight game; Flers found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Flers vs Quevilly II?
Flers 2-1 Quevilly II in the France - National League 3 on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Flers vs Quevilly II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Flers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Flers 42%, draw 19%, Quevilly II 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Flers)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
16 Mar 2024