Niort II 1-2 FC Challans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.3
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
29%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
Over Pick
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
42%
4-5
28%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
72%
-25.3pp
24%
Draw
17%
+6.9pp
29%
Away Win
11%
+18.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niort II The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Challans The Market 14%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+138% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
419 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niort II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Challans
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
27.01.2024 FC Challans FC Challans 3-0 Niort II Niort II FRUL3
POST-MATCH Niort II vs FC Challans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Challans nicked a narrow win over Niort II 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Niort II at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Niort II vs FC Challans?

Niort II 1-2 FC Challans in the France - National League 3 on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niort II vs FC Challans?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niort II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Niort II 47%, draw 24%, FC Challans 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Niort II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Niort II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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