16/03/2024
·
21:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Montlouis vs Vineuil Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
39%
4-5
22%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
36%
Home Win
30%
21%
Draw
26%
42%
Away Win
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Montlouis v Vineuil — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Montlouis
The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY
Vineuil
The Market 48%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
45%
Ball Possession
55%
12
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
7
279 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
389 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Montlouis vs Vineuil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Montlouis squeezed past Vineuil 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Vineuil at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Montlouis vs Vineuil?
Montlouis 1-0 Vineuil in the France - National League 3 on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Montlouis vs Vineuil?
Before kick-off our model rated an Vineuil win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Montlouis 36%, draw 21%, Vineuil 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vineuil) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Vineuil)
✓ Under 2.5
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FRUL3
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16 Mar 2024