Sainte-Genevieve 1-0 Mainvilliers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 16 Mar 2024

Sainte-Genevieve
1-0
Mainvilliers
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
France - National League 3 – 2023/2024

Sainte-Genevieve vs Mainvilliers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
Over Pick
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
42%
4-5
29%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 62% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
49%
Home Win
37%
+12.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
26%
Away Win
39%
-12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sainte-Genevieve v Mainvilliers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sainte-Genevieve The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mainvilliers The Market 43%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-26% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Sainte-Genevieve vs Mainvilliers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sainte-Genevieve edged past Mainvilliers 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sainte-Genevieve as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Sainte-Genevieve vs Mainvilliers?

Sainte-Genevieve 1-0 Mainvilliers in the France - National League 3 on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sainte-Genevieve vs Mainvilliers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sainte-Genevieve win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sainte-Genevieve 49%, draw 25%, Mainvilliers 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sainte-Genevieve) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sainte-Genevieve) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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