US Castanet-Tolosan 0-0 Pau II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
39%
4-5
20%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
39%
+4.3pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.4pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Castanet-Tolosan The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Pau II The Market 34%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
3.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/4.00
+115% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +112% / -67%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH US Castanet-Tolosan vs Pau II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

US Castanet-Tolosan and Pau II played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was US Castanet-Tolosan at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of US Castanet-Tolosan vs Pau II?

US Castanet-Tolosan 0-0 Pau II in the France - National League 3 on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Castanet-Tolosan vs Pau II?

Before kick-off our model rated a US Castanet-Tolosan win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split US Castanet-Tolosan 44%, draw 26%, Pau II 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (US Castanet-Tolosan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (US Castanet-Tolosan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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