Fulham 2-0 Tottenham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
35%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
2.96
6+ Goals
12%
9.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.4
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
11%
4.6
X/2
11%
8.34
X/X
9%
5.42
2/1
8%
21.6
2/2
16%
6.0
2/X
9%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
51%
-10.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
35%
Away Win
24%
+10.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fulham EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham EU Bookmakers 28%
+12% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.52/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.74
+6% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
26.0 Crosses 16.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fulham
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tottenham
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.41 xG 1.62
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
355 Passes 440
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Tottenham Tottenham 1-1 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
16.03.2024 Fulham Fulham 3-0 HT 1-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
23.10.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 2-0 HT 1-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
29.08.2023 Fulham Fulham 1-1 HT 1-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNLK
23.01.2023 Fulham Fulham 0-1 HT 0-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
03.09.2022 Tottenham Tottenham 2-1 HT 1-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fulham
2-0
AWAY Tottenham
0.97 xG 0.95
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
447 Passes 351
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 26
33 Crosses 19
POST-MATCH Fulham vs Tottenham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fulham got the better of Tottenham 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Fulham found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Fulham had 57% of the ball to Tottenham's 43%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.97 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tottenham led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fulham and 1.17 for Tottenham.

What was the final score of Fulham vs Tottenham?

Fulham 2-0 Tottenham in the England - Premier League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fulham vs Tottenham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fulham 40%, draw 25%, Tottenham 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fulham) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fulham) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
16 Mar 2025
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