Leicester City 0-3 Manchester United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 16 Mar 2025

Leicester City
0-3 HT 0-1
Manchester United
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✓
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Leicester City vs Manchester United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
51%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.22
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.43
6+ Goals
12%
13.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
6.74
1/2
11%
23.85
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
8%
8.58
X/2
17%
4.36
X/X
11%
4.88
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.38
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Over 2.5 — 52% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+2.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
51%
Away Win
52%
-0.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leicester City v Manchester United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United EU Bookmakers 56%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.10/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.41
-2% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +9%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 82%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
17.0 Crosses 16.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

Leicester City vs Manchester United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leicester City
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Manchester United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.94 xG 2.09
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
398 Passes 463
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.02.2025 Manchester United Manchester United 2-1 HT 0-1 Leicester City Leicester City FAK
10.11.2024 Manchester United Manchester United 3-0 HT 2-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
30.10.2024 Manchester United Manchester United 5-2 HT 4-2 Leicester City Leicester City İNLK
19.02.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 3-0 HT 1-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
01.09.2022 Leicester City Leicester City 0-1 HT 0-1 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
02.04.2022 Manchester United Manchester United 1-1 HT 0-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP

Leicester City 0-3 Manchester United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City
0-3
AWAY Manchester United
1.05 xG 0.91
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
434 Passes 359
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 17
30 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Leicester City vs Manchester United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United cruised past Leicester City 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Leicester City had 54% of the ball to Manchester United's 46%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 1.05 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester United led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Leicester City and 2.50 for Manchester United.

What was the final score of Leicester City vs Manchester United?

Leicester City 0-3 Manchester United in the England - Premier League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City vs Manchester United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Leicester City 26%, draw 23%, Manchester United 51%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
16 Mar 2025
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