Conquense 1-0 Melilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.7pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.4pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.8pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Conquense EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Melilla EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.22/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.20
+1% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Conquense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Melilla
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.11.2024 Melilla Melilla 1-0 HT 0-0 Conquense Conquense İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Conquense
1-0
AWAY Melilla
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Conquense vs Melilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Conquense nicked a narrow win over Melilla 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Conquense found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Conquense had 41% of the ball to Melilla's 59%, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of Conquense vs Melilla?

Conquense 1-0 Melilla in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Conquense vs Melilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Conquense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Conquense 38%, draw 30%, Melilla 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Conquense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Conquense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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