Arzignano Valchiampo 1-0 GIANA Erminio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.27
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.74
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.6pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.3pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.9pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
0.99/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.81
-18% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
3W-0D-0L
AWAY GIANA Erminio
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-1 HT 0-1 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
10.02.2024 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 3-0 HT 1-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
30.09.2023 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-1 HT 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
1-0
AWAY GIANA Erminio
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Arzignano Valchiampo vs GIANA Erminio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arzignano Valchiampo squeezed past GIANA Erminio 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Arzignano Valchiampo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Arzignano Valchiampo had 43% of the ball to GIANA Erminio's 57%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Arzignano Valchiampo had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Arzignano Valchiampo and 0.00 for GIANA Erminio.

What was the final score of Arzignano Valchiampo vs GIANA Erminio?

Arzignano Valchiampo 1-0 GIANA Erminio in the Italy - Serie C on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arzignano Valchiampo vs GIANA Erminio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arzignano Valchiampo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Arzignano Valchiampo 36%, draw 31%, GIANA Erminio 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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