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Brisbane Roar (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brisbane Roar (K) v Newcastle Jets (K) — Team-Based Signals
Brisbane Roar (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
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2-1
HT 1-1
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Newcastle Jets (K)
AVUSTW
0-1
HT 0-0
Brisbane Roar (K)
AVUSTW
Brisbane Roar (K) 2-3 Newcastle Jets (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Newcastle Jets (K) nicked a narrow win over Brisbane Roar (K) 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Brisbane Roar (K) at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Brisbane Roar (K) had 61% of the ball to Newcastle Jets (K)'s 39%, shots finished 16-22, expected goals 1.10 to 1.40.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Brisbane Roar (K) and 1.40 for Newcastle Jets (K).
What was the final score of Brisbane Roar (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?
Brisbane Roar (K) 2-3 Newcastle Jets (K) in the Australia - W-League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar (K) 49%, draw 25%, Newcastle Jets (K) 26%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) went the other way.