MC Alger 2-2 USM Khenchela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.32
Draw
29%
4.49
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.6
No
58%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.74
2-3 Goals
34%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.81
6+ Goals
10%
17.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 35% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-15.7pp
29%
Draw
19%
+9.7pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+5.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
34%
+7.3pp
58%
BTTS No
66%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MC Alger EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 12%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.96/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.71
+17% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -9%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
460 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MC Alger
4W-1D-1L
AWAY USM Khenchela
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
44% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
18.10.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 0-1 HT 0-1 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
11.05.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-1 HT 1-1 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
30.03.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-2 HT 0-2 MC Alger MC Alger CZYRK
16.12.2023 MC Alger MC Alger 3-0 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
30.05.2023 MC Alger MC Alger 1-0 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
21.10.2022 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 2-0 HT 1-0 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MC Alger
2-2
AWAY USM Khenchela
71% Ball Possession 29%
10 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH MC Alger vs USM Khenchela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MC Alger and USM Khenchela shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. MC Alger carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MC Alger had 71% of the ball to USM Khenchela's 29%, shots finished 10-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MC Alger had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for MC Alger and 0.67 for USM Khenchela.

What was the final score of MC Alger vs USM Khenchela?

MC Alger 2-2 USM Khenchela in the Algeria - 1st Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MC Alger vs USM Khenchela?

Before kick-off our model rated a MC Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split MC Alger 56%, draw 29%, USM Khenchela 15%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (MC Alger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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