Lyon vs Le Havre Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lyon v Le Havre — Team-Based Signals
Lyon vs Le Havre Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Le Havre
FR1
3-1
HT 2-0
Le Havre
FR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Lyon
FR1
2-1
HT 1-1
Le Havre
FR1
Lyon 4-2 Le Havre — Actual Match Statistics
Lyon saw off Le Havre 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Lyon as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, Lyon had 67% of the ball to Le Havre's 33%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 3.98 to 1.70.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyon had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Lyon and 0.83 for Le Havre.
What was the final score of Lyon vs Le Havre?
Lyon 4-2 Le Havre in the France - Ligue 1 on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lyon vs Le Havre?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lyon win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Lyon 61%, draw 21%, Le Havre 18%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.