Bucheon 1995 3-1 Ansan Greeners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.62
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.99
6+ Goals
11%
19.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 33% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+9.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bucheon 1995 EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 22%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.00/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.57
-20% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
370 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 71%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
21.0 Crosses 12.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bucheon 1995
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ansan Greeners
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
614 Passes 280
89% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-0 HT 1-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
10.08.2024 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 2-1 HT 1-1 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
15.05.2024 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 0-0 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
29.08.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-2 HT 0-2 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
15.07.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-2 HT 0-2 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
18.03.2023 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 1-0 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bucheon 1995
3-1
AWAY Ansan Greeners
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
359 Passes 287
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bucheon 1995 vs Ansan Greeners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bucheon 1995 saw off Ansan Greeners 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bucheon 1995 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bucheon 1995 had 52% of the ball to Ansan Greeners's 48%, shots finished 20-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bucheon 1995 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bucheon 1995 and 0.67 for Ansan Greeners.

What was the final score of Bucheon 1995 vs Ansan Greeners?

Bucheon 1995 3-1 Ansan Greeners in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bucheon 1995 vs Ansan Greeners?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bucheon 1995 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bucheon 1995 45%, draw 26%, Ansan Greeners 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bucheon 1995) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bucheon 1995) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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