Busan I Park 2-1 Cheonan City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
32%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.8
Over 2.5
54%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.94
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
27%
3.57
6+ Goals
10%
14.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.1pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.8pp
32%
Away Win
19%
+13.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 22%
-22% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +16%
1.33/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.25
-20% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.7 Crosses 15.8
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cheonan City
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
367 Passes 481
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2024 Cheonan City Cheonan City 2-3 HT 1-2 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
22.05.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-3 HT 2-1 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
10.04.2024 Cheonan City Cheonan City 2-4 HT 1-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
07.10.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
05.08.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-0 HT 1-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
01.03.2023 Cheonan City Cheonan City 2-3 HT 1-3 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
2-1
AWAY Cheonan City
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 1
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Cheonan City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park edged past Cheonan City 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Busan I Park as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Busan I Park had 59% of the ball to Cheonan City's 41%, shots finished 14-1.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Busan I Park and 1.50 for Cheonan City.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Cheonan City?

Busan I Park 2-1 Cheonan City in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Cheonan City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 48%, draw 20%, Cheonan City 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Busan I Park), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR2 More South Kore - K League Challenge
16 Mar 2025
08:00 Gyeongnam FC vs Jeonnam Dragons Analysis →
10:30 Bucheon 1995 vs Ansan Greeners Analysis →