Abia Warriors 1-0 Bendel Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.6
No
61%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-9.8pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.8pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
34%
+4.9pp
61%
BTTS No
66%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abia Warriors EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Bendel Insurance EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.49/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.86
-7% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Abia Warriors
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Bendel Insurance
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 0
26.10.2024 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance 0-1 HT 0-1 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors NIJ
21.12.2023 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance 1-0 HT 1-0 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors NIJ
POST-MATCH Abia Warriors vs Bendel Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abia Warriors nicked a narrow win over Bendel Insurance 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Abia Warriors as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Abia Warriors and 0.50 for Bendel Insurance.

What was the final score of Abia Warriors vs Bendel Insurance?

Abia Warriors 1-0 Bendel Insurance in the Nigeria NPFL on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abia Warriors vs Bendel Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated a Abia Warriors win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Abia Warriors 49%, draw 31%, Bendel Insurance 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Abia Warriors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Abia Warriors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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