Akwa United 2-0 Shooting Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
35%
3.64
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.6
No
63%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
23%
2/1
13%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-14.5pp
35%
Draw
24%
+10.5pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+4.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
34%
+2.6pp
63%
BTTS No
66%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akwa United EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Shooting Stars EU Bookmakers 17%
+2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.49/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.30
-6% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
268 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 197 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akwa United
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Shooting Stars
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 2-1 HT 1-0 Akwa United Akwa United NIJ
11.04.2022 Akwa United Akwa United 2-1 HT 1-0 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
26.12.2021 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 1-1 HT 0-1 Akwa United Akwa United NIJ
POST-MATCH Akwa United vs Shooting Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akwa United beat Shooting Stars 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Akwa United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Akwa United and 1.33 for Shooting Stars.

What was the final score of Akwa United vs Shooting Stars?

Akwa United 2-0 Shooting Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akwa United vs Shooting Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Akwa United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Akwa United 47%, draw 35%, Shooting Stars 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Akwa United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Akwa United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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