Shooting Stars 2-1 Akwa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.45
Over 2.5
45%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.6
No
56%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-2.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
65%
-9.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
35%
+9.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
34%
+9.7pp
56%
BTTS No
66%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shooting Stars EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Akwa United EU Bookmakers 19%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
1.61/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/0.95
+9% / +132% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +55%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 180 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shooting Stars
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Akwa United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
11.04.2022 Akwa United Akwa United 2-1 HT 1-0 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
26.12.2021 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 1-1 HT 0-1 Akwa United Akwa United NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shooting Stars
2-1
AWAY Akwa United
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shooting Stars vs Akwa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shooting Stars edged past Akwa United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shooting Stars as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shooting Stars had 57% of the ball to Akwa United's 43%, shots finished 20-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Akwa United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shooting Stars and 1.50 for Akwa United.

What was the final score of Shooting Stars vs Akwa United?

Shooting Stars 2-1 Akwa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shooting Stars vs Akwa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shooting Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Shooting Stars 54%, draw 24%, Akwa United 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shooting Stars) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shooting Stars) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NIJ More Nigeria NPFL
27 Oct 2024
18:00 Rivers United vs El Kanemi Warriors Analysis →
18:00 Plateau United vs Sunshine Stars Analysis →
18:00 Enyimba vs Ikorodu City Analysis →
18:00 Nasarawa United vs Kano Pillars Analysis →
18:00 Heartland vs Remo Stars Analysis →