Heartland 1-0 Remo Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.19
Draw
26%
2.66
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Over 2.5
31%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.44
No
69%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+6.0pp
26%
Draw
34%
-7.9pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.9pp
69%
Under 2.5
70%
-1.3pp
31%
Over 2.5
30%
+1.3pp
31%
BTTS Yes
37%
-6.4pp
69%
BTTS No
63%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heartland EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Remo Stars EU Bookmakers 28%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.35/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.26
+12% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heartland
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Remo Stars
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
26.12.2021 Remo Stars Remo Stars 3-0 HT 2-0 Heartland Heartland NIJ
POST-MATCH Heartland vs Remo Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heartland nicked a narrow win over Remo Stars 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Heartland as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (69%) came in.

What was the final score of Heartland vs Remo Stars?

Heartland 1-0 Remo Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heartland vs Remo Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heartland win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Heartland 48%, draw 26%, Remo Stars 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heartland), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Heartland) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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