Nasarawa United 1-0 Kano Pillars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.57
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
60%
-18.4pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.9pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.0pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nasarawa United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kano Pillars EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -7%
1.85/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.57
+14% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
354 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nasarawa United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Kano Pillars
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.05.2021 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars 1-0 HT 1-0 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United NIJ
10.01.2021 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 1-1 HT 0-0 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nasarawa United
1-0
AWAY Kano Pillars
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nasarawa United vs Kano Pillars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nasarawa United nicked a narrow win over Kano Pillars 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nasarawa United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Nasarawa United had 52% of the ball to Kano Pillars's 48%, shots finished 19-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kano Pillars led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nasarawa United and 1.00 for Kano Pillars.

What was the final score of Nasarawa United vs Kano Pillars?

Nasarawa United 1-0 Kano Pillars in the Nigeria NPFL on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nasarawa United vs Kano Pillars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nasarawa United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nasarawa United 41%, draw 33%, Kano Pillars 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nasarawa United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nasarawa United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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