Plateau United 3-0 Sunshine Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.43
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.52
Over 2.5
53%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.75
No
52%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-5.7pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.5pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
62%
-15.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
38%
+15.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
32%
+16.0pp
52%
BTTS No
68%
-16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plateau United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunshine Stars EU Bookmakers 14%
+7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
2.16/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.58
+34% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
376 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plateau United
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Sunshine Stars
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
22.10.2023 Plateau United Plateau United 1-0 HT 1-0 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars NIJ
28.07.2021 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars 3-2 HT 1-1 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
18.03.2021 Plateau United Plateau United 3-1 HT 3-0 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars NIJ
POST-MATCH Plateau United vs Sunshine Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plateau United ran out comfortable winners over Sunshine Stars 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Plateau United as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Plateau United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Plateau United and 1.33 for Sunshine Stars.

What was the final score of Plateau United vs Sunshine Stars?

Plateau United 3-0 Sunshine Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plateau United vs Sunshine Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plateau United win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Plateau United 60%, draw 21%, Sunshine Stars 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Plateau United), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Plateau United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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