Estoril U23 0-1 Sporting CP U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
49%
-12.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
37%
Away Win
26%
+11.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.63/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.00
-2% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +64%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril U23
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Sporting CP U23
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.01.2025 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 2-2 HT 0-0 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
02.12.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 0-0 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 UŞGB
13.09.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 1-1 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
17.04.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-1 HT 1-1 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23
13.02.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 2-1 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
26.09.2023 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 3-1 HT 1-0 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril U23
0-1
AWAY Sporting CP U23
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Estoril U23 vs Sporting CP U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP U23 edged past Estoril U23 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sporting CP U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Estoril U23 had 50% of the ball to Sporting CP U23's 50%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Estoril U23 and 1.17 for Sporting CP U23.

What was the final score of Estoril U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Estoril U23 0-1 Sporting CP U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Estoril U23 36%, draw 26%, Sporting CP U23 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP U23), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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