Gorica 3-0 NS Drava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.22
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Gorica win — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
78%
-12.8pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.9pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.1pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gorica EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY NS Drava EU Bookmakers 9%
-15% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.73/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/2.67
-14% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -32%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
440 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gorica
1W-1D-0L
AWAY NS Drava
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
22 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2024 NS Drava NS Drava 0-6 HT 0-4 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
08.05.2022 NS Drava NS Drava 2-2 HT 1-2 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
POST-MATCH Gorica vs NS Drava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gorica swept aside NS Drava 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gorica as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gorica had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Gorica and 1.00 for NS Drava.

What was the final score of Gorica vs NS Drava?

Gorica 3-0 NS Drava in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gorica vs NS Drava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Gorica 65%, draw 21%, NS Drava 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gorica), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gorica) ✓ BTTS No
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