NK Brinje 0-1 Triglav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-8.6pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NK Brinje EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Triglav EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.13/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.93
-28% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NK Brinje
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Triglav
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2024 Triglav Triglav 2-0 HT 1-0 NK Brinje NK Brinje SLVN2
25.03.2024 Triglav Triglav 0-1 HT 0-1 NK Brinje NK Brinje SLVN2
10.09.2023 NK Brinje NK Brinje 0-1 HT 0-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
02.04.2023 NK Brinje NK Brinje 2-0 HT 2-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
16.09.2022 Triglav Triglav 0-2 HT 0-1 NK Brinje NK Brinje SLVN2
POST-MATCH NK Brinje vs Triglav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triglav edged past NK Brinje 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Triglav made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, NK Brinje had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for NK Brinje and 0.60 for Triglav.

What was the final score of NK Brinje vs Triglav?

NK Brinje 0-1 Triglav in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NK Brinje vs Triglav?

Before kick-off our model rated a NK Brinje win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split NK Brinje 38%, draw 30%, Triglav 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (NK Brinje) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NK Brinje) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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