Rudar Velenje 0-2 ND Slovan Ljubljana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.85
No
62%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
50%
-11.8pp
62%
BTTS No
50%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rudar Velenje EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY ND Slovan Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.19/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/0.99
-24% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% / +51%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rudar Velenje
0W-1D-0L
AWAY ND Slovan Ljubljana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2024 ND Slovan Ljubljana ND Slovan Ljubljana 1-1 HT 0-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
POST-MATCH Rudar Velenje vs ND Slovan Ljubljana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ND Slovan Ljubljana saw off Rudar Velenje 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rudar Velenje at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Rudar Velenje vs ND Slovan Ljubljana?

Rudar Velenje 0-2 ND Slovan Ljubljana in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rudar Velenje vs ND Slovan Ljubljana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rudar Velenje win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rudar Velenje 42%, draw 26%, ND Slovan Ljubljana 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rudar Velenje) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rudar Velenje) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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