Ilirija 1-1 Tabor Sezana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-6.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.5pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilirija EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Tabor Sezana EU Bookmakers 57%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.62/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.70/1.00
+79% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
259 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilirija
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Tabor Sezana
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana 5-2 HT 4-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
26.04.2024 Ilirija Ilirija 2-0 HT 1-0 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana SLVN2
08.10.2023 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana 0-3 HT 0-1 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
POST-MATCH Ilirija vs Tabor Sezana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilirija and Tabor Sezana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Tabor Sezana at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ilirija had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Ilirija and 1.67 for Tabor Sezana.

What was the final score of Ilirija vs Tabor Sezana?

Ilirija 1-1 Tabor Sezana in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilirija vs Tabor Sezana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tabor Sezana win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ilirija 27%, draw 26%, Tabor Sezana 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tabor Sezana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tabor Sezana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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