Charlotte Independence 1-0 Richmond Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.9
Over 2.5
58%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.7
No
39%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+7.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
49%
-7.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
51%
+7.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
55%
+6.3pp
39%
BTTS No
45%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 36%
+11% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -16%
1.50/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.44
+3% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
18.0 Crosses 16.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte Independence
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Richmond Kickers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.46 xG 1.04
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
340 Passes 397
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.10.2024 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 0-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
15.09.2024 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 0-1 HT 0-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
16.07.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 2-2 HT 1-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
02.04.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-2 HT 1-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
19.03.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 0-0 HT 0-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
09.07.2022 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-1 HT 0-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte Independence
1-0
AWAY Richmond Kickers
1.26 xG 1.57
38% Ball Possession 62%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
233 Passes 425
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte Independence squeezed past Richmond Kickers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Charlotte Independence found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Charlotte Independence had 38% of the ball to Richmond Kickers's 62%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.26 to 1.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlotte Independence had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Charlotte Independence and 0.83 for Richmond Kickers.

What was the final score of Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers?

Charlotte Independence 1-0 Richmond Kickers in the USA - USL League 1 on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Richmond Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Charlotte Independence 35%, draw 26%, Richmond Kickers 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Richmond Kickers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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