Zalgiris Vilnius 1-2 TransINVEST Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2026

📅16/03/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
18%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
55%
+5.2pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.5pp
18%
Away Win
20%
-2.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 23%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.73/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-9% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
331 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
4W-0D-0L
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 0-1 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
14.08.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-0 HT 1-0 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LITA
02.06.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 1-3 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
10.04.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-0 HT 1-0 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
1-2
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs TransINVEST Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransINVEST Vilnius squeezed past Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Zalgiris Vilnius carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 63% of the ball to TransINVEST Vilnius's 37%, shots finished 9-20.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 0.25 for TransINVEST Vilnius.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Zalgiris Vilnius 1-2 TransINVEST Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 16/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 60%, draw 22%, TransINVEST Vilnius 18%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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