Siheung Citizen 1-0 Hwaseong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.78
Over
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
42%
4-5
23%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
34%
+8.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
28%
Away Win
38%
-9.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Siheung Citizen EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Siheung Citizen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hwaseong
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
6 Corners 5
21.09.2024 Hwaseong Hwaseong 2-2 HT 1-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
26.05.2024 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
03.09.2023 Hwaseong Hwaseong 2-0 HT 0-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
07.05.2023 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 0-2 HT 0-1 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
09.07.2022 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 4-0 HT 3-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
27.03.2022 Hwaseong Hwaseong 0-1 HT 0-1 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Siheung Citizen vs Hwaseong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siheung Citizen nicked a narrow win over Hwaseong 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Siheung Citizen as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Siheung Citizen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Siheung Citizen and 1.00 for Hwaseong.

What was the final score of Siheung Citizen vs Hwaseong?

Siheung Citizen 1-0 Hwaseong in the South Kore - K League Classic on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Siheung Citizen vs Hwaseong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Siheung Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Siheung Citizen 42%, draw 29%, Hwaseong 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Siheung Citizen), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Siheung Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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