DC United vs One Knoxville Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
DC United v One Knoxville — Team-Based Signals
DC United 3-3 One Knoxville — Actual Match Statistics
DC United and One Knoxville shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had DC United at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, DC United had 48% of the ball to One Knoxville's 52%, shots finished 27-17, expected goals 2.78 to 1.95.
What was the final score of DC United vs One Knoxville?
DC United 3-3 One Knoxville in the USA - Open Cup on 16/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for DC United vs One Knoxville?
Before kick-off our model rated a DC United win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split DC United 64%, draw 19%, One Knoxville 17%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (DC United) went the other way.