Houston Dynamo 4-1 El Paso Locomotive — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 16 Apr 2026

📅16/04/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.34
Draw
15%
4.62
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
70%
-2.7pp
15%
Draw
18%
-2.8pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 16%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.53/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.85
+2% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +129% / -13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
435 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
38.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
22.2 Crosses 13.0
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Houston Dynamo
4-1
AWAY El Paso Locomotive
2.12 xG 0.49
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
567 Passes 453
90% Pass Accuracy 86%
26 Box Touches 5
16 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Houston Dynamo vs El Paso Locomotive
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Houston Dynamo cruised past El Paso Locomotive 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Houston Dynamo as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Houston Dynamo had 55% of the ball to El Paso Locomotive's 45%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 2.12 to 0.49.

What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs El Paso Locomotive?

Houston Dynamo 4-1 El Paso Locomotive in the USA - Open Cup on 16/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Houston Dynamo vs El Paso Locomotive?

Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 67%, draw 15%, El Paso Locomotive 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Houston Dynamo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Houston Dynamo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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