New York Red Bulls 3-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 16 Apr 2026

📅16/04/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
63%
-1.0pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.5pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
1.94/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.18
-30% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
36.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
17.9 Crosses 9.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York Red Bulls
3-1
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1.06 xG 0.50
76% Ball Possession 24%
13 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
745 Passes 172
91% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH New York Red Bulls vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York Red Bulls beat Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had New York Red Bulls as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, New York Red Bulls had 76% of the ball to Pittsburgh Riverhounds's 24%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.06 to 0.50.

What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

New York Red Bulls 3-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USA - Open Cup on 16/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 62%, draw 22%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York Red Bulls), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (New York Red Bulls) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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